EUR/USD ORB DESK European opening range breakout
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Reading the tape…

Fetching the 07:30–08:00 GMT range and the post-open tape from the five-minute series.

EUR/USD
Range width
Break filter
Risk to invalidation

Level ladder

07:30–08:00 GMT range · ±10 pips

Session tape

five-minute closes, 06:00 GMT onward
opening range ±10 pip triggers break taken

Range budget

the article's ATR filter for the back half of the week
Daily ATR (14)pips
Session range so far
Largest range this week
0.1 × ATR alternativevs 10 pips fixed

Loading the weekly range budget.

Rolling hit rate

every London open in the retained five-minute window
Break confirmedof days that triggered
Reached 1R firstof confirmed breaks
Stopped firstback through the range
ExpectancyR per confirmed break
Median range
Median risk
Median favourable
Median adverse
Long / short
Closed in direction

Loading the session history.

SessionRangeBreakRiskMFEMAEOutcome

The rule set

as published, not as reinterpreted
  1. Mark the range. The high and low of the half hour before the London open — 07:30–08:00 GMT. EUR/USD is the primary vehicle; GBP/USD and USD/CHF are the named alternates.
  2. Wait for a real break. At least 10 pips beyond the range high or low. The adaptive alternative is one-tenth of the daily ATR.
  3. Demand it holds. Price must remain beyond the breakout level for 10–15 minutes. That sustained direction is the day's expected momentum, not the five-minute poke.
  4. Know where you are wrong. The opposite side of the breakout's high/low is the identifiable area that says the trade is wrong. This desk uses that distance as 1R; the source page prescribes no fixed stop or target.
  5. Respect the calendar. Medium- and high-impact releases, option expiries, fixings and futures closes disrupt the pattern — consider exiting or trimming ahead of them.
  6. Watch the weekly range budget. If the ATR has not been reached Monday through Wednesday, watch Thursday and Friday closely. If it already has, treat late-week breaks as false-break and reversal candidates.

Rules per FOREX.com, “Opening Range Breakout Strategy in Trading”. Stop, target and R-multiple conventions on this desk are its own, built on the invalidation level that page identifies.